Appendix

Model 1

Figure 1. Posterior predictive distribution density plot for deaths.

Model 2

Figure 2. Posterior predictive distribution density plot for deaths.

Figure 3. Add caption.

Model 3

Figure 4. Posterior predictive distribution density plot for deaths.

Figure 5. Posterior predictive distribution density plot for hospitalizations.

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Figure 7. Add caption

Figure 8. Effect on time from hospitalization to death by covariates included in the third model.

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Model 4

Figure 10. Log hazard rate for healthcare provider random effect (95% Credible Interval)

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